RIGGED COVID DEATHS! PANDEMIC REDUCES GLOBAL DIMMING = “ICE FREE ARCTIC!” UNLEASHES “HOT STUFF!” CAUSING RAPID HEAT ICE MELT SEA LEVEL RISE PLUS “AMOC COLLAPSE” = RECORD OCEAN TEMPS CAUSE MONSTER STORMS THAT DESTROY NUCLEAR REACTORS!
RIGGED RIGGED RIGGED - THE DEATH RATES ARE RIGGED - JUST LIKE THE NUMBER OF CASES ARE RIGGED - READ MY PAST POST . . . . .
. . . . . RIGGED COVID CASES - TRUMP’S NUMBERS - NOT - CDC! SAM CARANA - “THE BIG ONE” GOES TO ZERO! EXPLODES “HOT STUFF!“ NOAA PREDICTS HURRICANE HELL! DR. DEATH’S “GAIN OF FUNCTION” STUDIES CRITICAL TO KILLING “THE EVIL MONEY MONSTERS!”
161,000 Missing Deaths: Tracking the True Toll of the Coronavirus Outbreak
CLICK FOR ARTICLE’S CRITICAL TABLES AND GRAPHS I COULD NOT COPY INTO TEXT
By Jin Wu, Allison McCann, Josh Katz and Elian PeltierUpdated July 31, 2020, 6 A.M. E.T.
At least 161,000 more people have died during the coronavirus pandemic than the official Covid-19 death counts report, a review of mortality data in 28 countries shows — providing a clearer, if still incomplete, picture of the toll of the crisis.
Over the last several months, far more people have died in most of these countries than in previous years, The New York Times found. The totals include deaths from Covid-19 as well as those from other causes, likely including people who could not be treated as hospitals became overwhelmed. These numbers undermine the notion that many people who have died from the virus may soon have died anyway.
Mortality data in the middle of a pandemic is not perfect. In most places, the disparities between the official death counts and the total rise in deaths reflect limited testing for the virus rather than intentional undercounting. Officially, more than 673,000 people had died worldwide of the coronavirus as of July 31.
But the total death numbers offer a more complete portrait of the pandemic, researchers say, especially because most countries report only those Covid-19 deaths that occur in hospitals.
“Whatever number is reported on a given day is going to be a gross underestimate,” said Tim Riffe, a demographer at the Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research in Germany. “In a lot of places the pandemic has been going on for long enough that there has been sufficient time for late death registrations to come in, giving us a more accurate picture of what the mortality really was.”
Where excess deaths are still above normal
The virus was last to hit Latin America, and excess deaths are still climbing in several countries. Ecuador recorded about 22,400 more deaths than usual compared to the same period in the last three years — about five times higher than the reported number of Covid-19 deaths in the country during that time. And in Peru, more than 37,000 excess deaths were recorded from April to June.
These estimates were made for each country by comparing the total number of people who died this year to the number of deaths that would be expected given local mortality trends, adjusted to account for changes over time. The Economist is also tracking these deaths, known as excess deaths, in a similar way.
It is unusual for mortality data to be released so quickly, demographers say, but many countries are working to provide more comprehensive and timely information because of the urgency of the coronavirus outbreak. The data is limited and, if anything, excess deaths are underestimated because not all deaths have been reported.
“At this stage, it’s a partial snapshot,” said Patrick Gerland, a demographer at the United Nations. “It’s one view of the problem that reflects that most acute side of the situation, primarily through the hospital-based system.”
That is likely to change.
“In the next couple of months,” Mr. Gerland said, “a much clearer picture will be possible.”
Where excess deaths have returned to normal
Throughout March and early April, many countries across Europe reported clear deviations from normal patterns of deaths, according to data released by the European Mortality Monitoring Project, a research group that collects weekly mortality data from 24 European countries.
But over the last few weeks many countries have returned to normal levels of death.
In countries like Belgium and France, authorities have worked to include Covid-19 deaths outside of hospitals in their daily death reports, or adjusted the overall Covid-19 death totals once a death is confirmed in a place like a nursing or retirement home.
Other agencies, like Britain’s Office for National Statistics, release mortality data after death certificates have been processed, confirming those that mention Covid-19. This provides a more accurate, if delayed, account of mortality than the hospital figures released each day by Public Health England.
Not all countries saw excess deathsIn a handful of countries there has been no clear sign of increased mortality this year. The reasons for this are varied and will become clearer in the months ahead as countries process and certify deaths.
In Norway, Denmark and Finland, demographers say the low mortality is due in part to a less severe flu season this winter — but also because these countries were quick to implement severe restrictions to slow the spread of the virus when their outbreaks were smaller and easier to contain.
Israel hasn’t seen many more deaths than normal through early July, the latest data available, but a recent spike in infections may raise the level of excess deaths in the coming weeks.
Age breakdowns in mortality data will also provide a clearer picture of the role of Covid-19 in excess deaths. Using relative age-standardized mortality rates, Britain’s Office for National Statistics found that Spain had the highest rate of all European countries during the peak of the pandemic.
Even taking into account differences in mortality by age, experts say the death toll to date could have been much worse.
“Today’s rise in all-cause mortality takes place under conditions of extraordinary measures, such as social distancing, lockdowns, closed borders and increased medical care, at least some which have positive impacts,” said Vladimir Shkolnikov, a demographer at the Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research. “It is likely that without these measures, the current death toll would be even higher.”
Read more about the methodology and download data for excess mortality from The New York Times on GitHub.
To estimate expected deaths, we fit a linear model to reported deaths in each country from 2015 to January 2020. The model has two components — a linear time trend to account for demographic changes and a smoothing spline to account for seasonal variation. For countries limited to monthly data, the model includes month as a fixed effect rather than using a smoothing spline.
Some countries have less historical data available. For countries with three or fewer years of data, the model uses a simple average of deaths in the observed years. For the United Kingdom, the model accounts for the number of bank holidays in a given week, since deaths are not registered during bank holidays.
UNACCOUNTEDCOVID-19’s true death toll in Texas is higher than reported, data shows
HealthMedicine. U.S. Centers for Disease Control - CLICK FOR CRITICAL GRAPHSby Godofredo A. Vásquez / Staff photographer
Mortician Jeff Sonka, right, loads a body into a van for transport Aug. 4 to Compean Funeral Home, which has seen business double, in southeast Houston.
Godofredo A. Vásquez / Staff photographer
Mortician Jeff Sonka takes a break Aug. 4 before the fourth embalming of that day at Compean Funeral Home.
The casket of Trancito Rangel, 46, who died of COVID-19, is carried to a hearse during his service Aug. 4 at Compean.
Manuel Santos takes a break between embalmings at Compean, which mostly serves the Latino community.Since the start of the COVID-19 pandemic in Texas, the state’s death toll from all causes has soared by thousands above historical averages — a sobering spike that experts say reveals the true toll of the disease.
Between the beginning of the local pandemic and the end of July, 95,000 deaths were reported in Texas, according to data from the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Based on historical mortality records and predictive modeling, government epidemiologists would have expected to see about 82,500 deaths during that time.
The CDC attributed more than 7,100 deaths to COVID-19, but that leaves roughly 5,500 more than expected and with no identified tie to the pandemic.
“THE BIG ONE!” - ARCTIC SEA ICE - CONTINUES TO PLUMET! REMAINING SEA ICE - LOOKS LIKE - SWISS CHEESE - PER PAUL BECKWITH! I AGREE! ICE THICKNESS HAS PLUMMETED BY 2-2.5 METERS SINCE JUNE! . . . . THINK OF WHAT THIS MEANS! . . . .
. . . . THE FINAL REMAINING - MULTI-YEAR OLD ICE - MADE POTENTIALLY 1-2 MILLION YEARS AGO, IF YOU BELIEVE THAT THE LAST TIME THE ARCTIC WAS ICE FREE WAS 2.7 MILLION YEARS AGO (2.7 MYA), JUST AT THE END OF THE PLIOCENE PERIOD! IS MELTED BETWEEN JUNE AND AUGUST! OMG! HOW MANY HUNDREDS OF THOUSANDS OF YEARS DID IT TAKE TO MAKE THESE 2 TO 2.5 METERS OF ARCTIC SEA ICE? WATCH THE DROP IN ARCTIC SEA ICE THICKNESS ON THE GRAPH BELOW, OR AT . . . .
. . . . POLAR PORTAL dot DK.
ACCORDING TO THE NOVA DOCUMENTARY “ANTARCTICA: SECRETS BENEATH THE ICE,” BOTH WEST AND MOST OF EAST ANTARCTICA ICE MELTED 3 MYA, THE PLIOCENE PERIOD, WHEN CARBON WAS 400 PPM, AND GLOBAL MEAN AVERAGE TEMPERATURES WERE 4 C ABOVE, 1700-1750 PRE-INDUSTRIAL AVERAGE TEMPS!
. . . . . . THE BOTTOM LINE - “CORONAVIRUS PANDEMIC” - CAUSED - A RAPID REDUCTION IN ECONOMIC ACTIVITY - CAUSING A - “RAPID REDUCTION IN GLOBAL DIMMING!” . . .
. . . . . WHICH IS - DRIVING UP - SIBERIAN AND ARCTIC TEMPERATURES - SEE MY LAST POST - WHICH - WILL - RAPIDLY ACCELERATE - “THE BIG ONE” - ARCTIC SEA ICE LOSS. . . WHEN . . .
. . . . “BLUE OCEAN ARCTIC” - AN - “ICE FREE ARCTIC” - OCCURS - THIS SEPTEMBER OR NEXT - SEPT 2020/21 - THIS WILL - UNLEASH . . .
. . . . “HOT STUFF” - “THE SIBERIAN METHANE MONSTER!”
WATCH THE FOLLOWING GRAPH BY THE DANISH MINISTRY RESEARCH GROUP ON . . . .
. . . . POLAR PORTAL dot DK. AS IS DISCUSSED BY - DR. GUY MCPHERSON, THE FATHER OF ABRUPT CLIMATE CHANGE - THE POTENTIAL RISKS OF AN “ICE FREE ARCTIC” - DUE TO - “THE LATENT HEAT EFFECT” - ARE SIMPLY - BEYOND ANYONE’S IMAGINATION, AND IN MY OPINION . . . . REPRESENT THE MAJORITY - 70% PLUS - OF THE RISKS OF . . . .
. . . . NEAR TERM HUMAN EXTINCTION! . . . HENCE, HER NAME . . . “HOT STUFF!”
. . . . AN “ICE FREE ARCTIC” - OR - “BLUE OCEAN ARCTIC” - WILL - UNLEASH . . . .
. . . . “THE SIBERIAN METHANE MONSTER!” - “HOT STUFF” - WHAT IS TERMED . . .
. . . . “THE CLATHRATE GUN” - FIRING - “ON TRUMPET COCAINE!” NOT ONLY . . .
. . . . A POTENTIAL MASSIVE - METHANE BURP - ONGOING - METHANE FOUNTAINS!
. . . . WHICH - WILL - MELT - “THE BIG SNOW CONE!” - ANTARCTICA! SIGNIFICANTLY BY . .
. . . . 2022-2025! . . . COMBINED WITH . . “THE COLLAPSE OF THE AMOC!” . . . .
. . . . IS EXPLODING - THE GULF AND OCEAN TEMPERATURES! . . WHICH WILL CAUSE . .
. . . . MASSIVE SEA LEVEL RISE, AND HORRIFIC STORM SURGE. CAUSING . . .
. . . . “THE MONSTER SUPER STORMS!” . . THAT WILL - DESTROY . . . .
. . . . OCEAN BASED NUCLEAR REACTORS! . . . INSURING . . . .
. . . . “THANK GOD!” - - “It Is THE END!” . . . IN THIS POST . . . I WILL COMPARE . . .
. . . . MY FORECAST AND ATTRIBUTION ANALYSIS, TO SAM CARANA’S AND . .
. . . . THE FATHER OF THIS THESIS - “DR. GUY MCPHERSON’S” FORECASTS.
NOTE: IT TAKES A FEW DAYS TO A WEEK TO DEVELOP THESE POSTS.
Fast Path to Extinction
SUNDAY, JUNE 14, 2020, SAM CARANA
May 2020 was the hottest May on record, the third monthly record in the year to date, even though there was no El Niño in 2020 (yet). An El Niño event later in 2020, combined with further warming elements, such as loss of the aerosol masking effect due to COVID-19 lockdowns, could trigger a huge temperature rise, as the red trend illustrates. The year 2020 looks set or close to become the hottest on record, as illustrated by the blue trend that points at a continuing rise reaching 3°C by 2026, i.e. likely driving humans into extinction.
The May 2020 ocean temperature anomaly on the Northern Hemisphere was 0.94°C or 1.67°F higher than the 20th century average, the highest May anomaly on record.
The latent heat tipping point threatens to be crossed as ocean temperature anomalies on the Northern Hemisphere reach 1°C above the 20th century average, in turn threatening the methane hydrates tipping point to get crossed, i.e. as ocean temperature anomalies on the Northern Hemisphere become higher than 1.35°C above the 20th century average.
Arctic sea ice is getting very thin and, at this time of year, it is melting rapidly from below, due to the rising temperature of the Arctic Ocean. The sea ice underneath the surface of the Arctic Ocean is disappearing rapidly, due to the influx of warm and salty water from the Atlantic Ocean and the Pacific Ocean.
Sea surface temperature anomalies from the 20th century on the Northern Hemisphere in °C.
Yellow circles are anomalies for the month May, red circles are anomalies for other months.
An earlier analysis indicates that the latent heat tipping point threatens to get crossed as ocean temperature anomalies on the Northern Hemisphere reach 1°C above the 20th century average. As above image indicates, the tipping point was briefly crossed before, but this year it looks set to get crossed irreversibly.
At that point, there will be little or no Arctic sea ice left underneath the sea surface all year long, so the sea ice has lost most of its capacity to act as a buffer to consume further heat arriving from the Atlantic Ocean and the Pacific Ocean.
Arctic sea ice volume has been at record low for almost all of 2020 to date, while 2019 volume was at a record low from October, making that volume has been at record low for almost 8 months straight.
Crossing the latent heat tipping point means that huge amounts of incoming heat will get absorbed by the Arctic Ocean, instead of getting consumed by the melting of sea ice, as was previously the case.
As long as there is sea ice in the water, this sea ice will keep absorbing heat as it melts, so the temperature will not rise at the sea surface.
There is ever less sea ice left underneath the surface to absorb ocean heat, and the amount of energy that used to be absorbed by melting ice is as much as it takes to heat an equivalent mass of water from zero to 80°C.
Meanwhile, global heating continues and more than 90% of global heating is going into oceans.
As discussed in an earlier post, the loss of subsurface sea ice is only one of ten tipping points hitting the Arctic. As the temperature of the oceans keeps rising, more heat will reach sediments at the seafloor of the Arctic Ocean that contain vast amounts of methane, as discussed in this page and this post. The danger is that this heat will destabilize the ice and the hydrates, resulting in huge releases of methane. The methane hydrates tipping point threatens to get crossed as ocean temperature anomalies on the Northern Hemisphere become higher than 1.35°C above the 20th century average, which threatens to occur early next year.
The danger is illustrated by the image below, posted in February 2019 and showing a potential rise of 18°C or 32.4°F from 1750 by the year 2026.
Indeed, a rise of 18°C could eventuate by 2026, as illustrated by the image below and as discussed in an earlier post.
The situation is dire and calls for immediate, comprehensive and effective action, as described in the Climate Plan.
• NASA GISS maps - Land Surface Air Temperature and Sea Surface Temperature
• Crossing the Paris Agreement thresholds
• NOAA Global Climate Report - May 2020
• NOAA ocean heat content
• Arctic Hit By Ten Tipping Points
• Why stronger winds over the North Atlantic are so dangerous
• Why America should lead on climate
• Methane's Role in Arctic Warming
• Critical Tipping Point Crossed In July 2019
• The Threat
• When will we die?
• 2°C crossed
• A rise of 18°C or 32.4°F by 2026?
• Most Important Message Ever
• Climate Plan
“GET YOUR SUCK BAGS” NOW! TIME TO “RAISE OUR SPIRITS UP TO GOD!” BY “ASCENSION THURSDAY 2022” AT THE LATEST!
MY MAJOR SCIENTIFIC ARGUMENTS: “HERD GENOCIDE“ - NOT - “HERD IMMUNITY!“ “It Is THE END!” BY 2030-2040! BY 2025 THE GULF & FLORIDA WILL BE DESTROYED BY “THE MONSTER SUPER STORMS” - EXIT NOW!
MOVE TO - CANADA - NOW! IF YOU CAN! BANF TO LAKE SUPERIOR UP TO HUDSON BAY, EAST. NORDIC COUNTRIES. NEW ZEALAND IF YOU CAN AFFORD TO. LAKE TAHOE, LAKE CHAMPLAIN, GREAT LAKES EAST TO COAST IN US!
MY WORK IS IN ALL CAPITALS - others work in non-caps. Sources are linked - blue text. POSTS
TO EXIT HUMANELY:
DUE TO - “THE LATENT HEAT EFFECT!” - UNLEASHING - “HOT STUFF!” I COMPARE MY FORECAST FOR EXTINCTION TO SAM’S AND GUYS!!” CAUSING GMAT TO RISE BY 18 C / 32.4 F BY 2026 ACCORDING TO SAM CARANA!
WHEN I SPEAK - AS MY FATHER - I SPEAK FOR MY FATHER! BECOME ONE! - NOW! HIS CHANNEL! LOVE U!
MY PRIMARY ROLE IS AS MY CLOSEST SPIRITUAL BROTHER, JOHN THE BAPTIST, TO PREPARE THE WAY! LOVE U! LOVE GOD WITH ALL OF YOUR HEARTS! NOW! MY MAIN GOAL!
PREPARE YOUR SOULS - NOW! BECOME "ONE" WITH "THE ONE!" NOW! THE END IS MUCH CLOSER THAN YOU THINK!
LOTS OF VIDEOS - TAKES TIME TO LOAD!
New Topic /Videos Each Post Plus Key Videos
ALL CREDIT FOR TRUTH IS TO - "THE ONE" - THE SUNSHINE BAND AND AUTHORS NOTED. MY CREDIT IS FOR ANY MISTAKES! SORRY!
THESIS SUMMARIES, Key Links SideBar Below
THE NORDIC MODEL & The Final Judgement: Take Care of "Those in Need!" Or Fry in Hell! Christ IS "The First Great SOCIALIST!" Last Warning! SUPPORT THE NORDIC MODEL or FRY Baby FRY! WHEN YOU DIE, BABY, DIE! SOON!
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SAVE THE SPECIES:
ONE LOVE CLIMATE REFUGEES & PRISON COMMUNITIES
ENCASE NUCLEAR REACTORS - ENCASE POWER POLES - CAP SIBERIAN AND ARCTIC METHANE - TRANSITION TO PRIMARILY SOLAR AND WIND - USING THE SAVE THE SPECIES - NON-DEBT BASED CURRENCY! EFFECTIVELY A NORDIC MODEL / RESOURCE BASED GLOBAL RENEWABLE ENERGY ECONOMY! - NOW!
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"THE LOGIC OF THE GOD OF LOVE!" MEDICARE FOR ALL - CHRISTIAN! CAPITALISM - EVIL!
DO YOU CHOOSE - MONEY OR GOD!
"MY HIS STORY"
ANTARCTICA MELTING RAPIDLY! ANDRILL
2016 VIDEO - 60-75 FOOT SEA LEVEL RISE WITH 400 PPM CARBON, SAME AS TODAY, AND JUST SLIGHTLY HIGHER TEMPS THAN TODAY!
"LIVING GIVING NETWORKS:" THE THEISTIC HUMANISTIC MODEL FOR ACHIEVING -"ONENESS" - WITH - "GOD'S LAW" - TO TAKE CARE OF - "THOSE IN NEED!" TO ACHIEVE "THE SHE MATRIARCAL NORDIC MODEL!" (not a business solicitation)
"BECOMING ONE" CORONAVIRUS HELL ON EARTH! THEN - "HOT STUFF"- IS UNLEASHED!
EXIT - THE GULF & FLORIDA - NOW! “THE MONSTER SUPER STORMS” WILL DESTROY THEM . .
. . BY 2025! OMG!
"GET YOUR SUCK BAGS" NOW! "THE HAMMER AND THE DANCE!" THE MOST HORRIFIC CASE. . . . . "It Is THE END!"
WORLD'S ONLY MAJOR TERRORISTS GROUP!
THE EVIL RIGHT WING!
"AS IT IS IN HEAVEN - SO SHOULD IT BE ON EARTH!" SUPPORT THE ONLY CHRIST LIKE SOCIETY OR FRY IN THE HELL YOU SUPPORT!
RIGGED - The GREAT SIBERIAN METHANE COVER UP!
CAN "THEY" FIX IT? STOP HELL ON EARTH?
"HOT STUFF LIVES?"
The Clathrate Gun Fired
"BERNIE AOC!" OR A RUSSIAN ASSET OR A 9/11 PUPPET!?
FOR FULL SCREEN: Login to Youtube FIRST, then Open My Site, Then Click on Video you Want Full Screen. Now Go To Youtube, Switch Screens, Click on History, the First Is the Video You Clicked On - On My Site! If NOT close All, Repeat Process.
MUST READ and WATCH Viking Economics: How the Scandinavians Got It Right - And How We Can, Too; The Secrets of The Nordic Model, by the same author, and The Nordic Perspective!
US CORPORATE STATE SOCIALISM, Fascist Monopolistic, Homo and Transphobe, Racist, Kleptocratic / Thieves, Oil War Imperialist Focused, "ALL for THE RICH" - - "RAPE THE REST!" Especially Destroy the Lives of the Truly Good People Who Stand against THE EVIL GREED of THE FEW, The Sunshine Band. UNTIL The Horrific Demise of ALL God's Children, God's Species and Wonder Filled World for THE EVIL GREED OF THE FEW . . . .
. . . . is EVIL!
THE NORDIC MODEL: Libertarian Democratic Market Socialism: Denmark, Finland, Norway, Sweden, are Sustainable, Humane
and Egalitarian (Think - SHE - The Matriarcal Nordic Model). . .
. . . .it is GOOD!
Vote for THE MATRIARCAL NORDIC MODEL - NOW!
Bernie Sanders & Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez - 2020! VOTE!
MY HEROS OF "THE MATRIARCAL NORDIC MODEL!" BELOW
BERNIE SANDERS AND ALEXANDRIA CORTEZ 2020! IF NOT, JILL STEIN AND ABBY MARTIN - GREEN PARTY - 2020!
MY HEROS, ABOVE:
LESTER BROWN, "WORLD ON THE EDGE," "PLAN B 4.0," EARTH-POLICY.ORG
DR. GUY MCPHERSON, FATHER OF "ABRUPT CLIMATE CHANGE"
DR. JORGEN RANDERS, FATHER OF "THE LIMITS TO GROWTH!" AND, "2052: A Global Forecast for the next 40 Years!"
MICHAEL MOORE - DOCUMENTARIAN - FOR - "JC AND THE SUNSHINE BAND!" EXCEPTIONAL DOCUMENTARIES!
RICK STEVES - THE NORDIC MODEL - THE GOOD LIFE!
EVIL TRUMP! OF "THANK GOD!" - -
"It Is THE END!"
"THE SIBERIAN METHANE MONSTER!"
"House of Trump, House of Putin: The Untold Story of Donald Trump and the Russian Mafia"
“Damning in its accumulation of detail, terrifying in its depiction of the pure evil of those Trump chose to do business with.”--The Spectator (UK)
Watch "THE SIBERIAN METHANE MONSTER" - ABOVE - BURN UP and SUPER STORMS DESTROY Planet EVIL GREED! DAILY! OH BOY, WHAT COULD BE MORE EXCITING THAN THAT!? OK, Her Name is . . . . . . . "HOT STUFF!"
"The Limits to Growth: A Final Warning" tells you about the authors work since the early seventies, my work since 1980, and the stage of the "science of overpopulation analysis." Dr. Jorgen Randers, "2052: A Global Forecast for the Next Forty Years," and Lester Brown, "World on The Edge," have portended the fate of the world, due to overpopulation since the seventies! However limited I see their understanding of "abrupt climate change."